BETTING GUIDE: Who are the favourites as F1 heads to Miami for another Sprint weekend?

It was another triumphant weekend for Max Verstappen and Red Bull last time out in China, with the Dutchman taking victory in both the Sprint race and the Grand Prix, but can this run of form continue as F1 returns to Miami?

Once again the weekend will offer two chances at points, with the second Sprint event of the season taking place. So who are the favourites to enjoy success at the Miami International Autodrome? Let’s see what the odds tell us…

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188BET’s odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so, if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.

The odds for the win

Having been victorious at all but one weekend so far in 2024, Verstappen holds the strongest odds when it comes to who will stand on the top step of the podium this time out in Miami.

With the Miami International Autodrome having made its debut on the F1 calendar just two years ago, another factor going in Verstappen’s favour is the fact that he is the only driver to have won at the circuit.

• Max Verstappen 1.15
• Sergio Perez 13.0
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris 21.0
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, Nico Hulkenberg, Oscar Piastri 51.0
• Fernando Alonso 67.0
• Lance Stroll 251
• Alex Albon, Daniel Ricciardo, Esteban Ocon, Kevin Magnussen, Logan Sargeant, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 601

The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying

Unsurprisingly Verstappen is also the favourite to claim pole position in Miami, with the world champion having been on a run of consecutive P1 grid slots in 2024.

However, while he previously took victory during F1’s last two visits to this track, Verstappen is still yet to clinch pole here. The drivers to do so on those occasions were Sergio Perez in 2023 and Charles Leclerc one year earlier, both of whom are ranked as Verstappen’s closest challengers for the accolade this weekend.

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• Max Verstappen 1.28
• Sergio Perez 7.00
• Charles Leclerc 15.0
• Carlos Sainz, Lando Norris 17.0
• Fernando Alonso, Oscar Piastri 34.0
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 51.0
• Alex Albon, Lance Stroll 151
• Daniel Ricciardo, Esteban Ocon, Kevin Magnussen, Logan Sargeant, Nico Hulkenberg, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 301

The odds for a podium finish

Both Red Bull drivers have stood on the podium at four out of five races so far in 2024 – with three of these being one-two finishes – so Verstappen and Perez are rated as the most likely to appear on the rostrum in Miami.

Last time out in China, the possibility of another one-two was interrupted by Lando Norris, who slotted into P2. The McLaren driver is third favourite in the odds to score a podium this weekend, closely followed by Leclerc and Carlos Sainz.

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• Max Verstappen 1.10
• Sergio Perez 1.25
• Lando Norris 2.40
• Charles Leclerc 2.60
• Carlos Sainz 2.75
• Oscar Piastri 6.00
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, 9.00
• Fernando Alonso 11.0
• Lance Stroll 34.0
• Daniel Ricciardo, Kevin Magnussen, Nico Hulkenberg, Yuki Tsunoda 67.0
• Alex Albon, Esteban Ocon, Logan Sargeant, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 101

The odds for a top-six finish

Several drivers are in the mix here, with the margins remaining fine between the leading teams. While Red Bull and Ferrari lead the way, Norris and team mate Oscar Piastri are not far behind in the odds for McLaren.

The Mercedes pair of George Russell and Lewis Hamilton are also in with a chance, and Fernando Alonso can never be ruled out in the Aston Martin.

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• Max Verstappen 1.08
• Sergio Perez 1.10
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc 1.15
• Lando Norris 1.20
• Oscar Piastri 1.65
• George Russell 1.80
• Lewis Hamilton 1.90
• Fernando Alonso 2.40
• Lance Stroll 10.0
• Yuki Tsunoda 13.0
• Daniel Ricciardo 15.0
• Nico Hulkenberg 17.0
• Alex Albon, Kevin Magnussen 26.0
• Valtteri Bottas 34.0
• Esteban Ocon, Zhou Guanyu 41.0
• Pierre Gasly 51.0
• Logan Sargeant 67.0

The odds for a points finish

There are equally tight odds when it comes to who might finish in the top 10 on Sunday in Miami, with the leading gaggle of cars from Red Bull, Ferrari, McLaren, Mercedes and Aston Martin all ranking favourably.

But who else could potentially come away with a point? Yuki Tsunoda is in the mix despite a challenging weekend last time out in China, as is RB team mate Daniel Ricciardo along with Haas’s Nico Hulkenberg, who has scored points on three occasions so far this year.

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• Max Verstappen 1.06
• Sergio Perez 1.10
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris 1.12
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri 1.15
• Fernando Alonso 1.20
• Lance Stroll 1.65
• Yuki Tsunoda 2.50
• Daniel Ricciardo, Nico Hulkenberg 2.75
• Alex Albon, Kevin Magnussen, Valtteri Bottas 3.75
• Esteban Ocon 5.50
• Pierre Gasly 6.00
• Zhou Guanyu 8.00
• Logan Sargeant 15.0

The odds for fastest lap

After Verstappen and Leclerc each claimed two fastest laps apiece in the opening four rounds of the season, Alonso was a new name to take the accolade during the Chinese Grand Prix.

The Spaniard’s odds to repeat the feat this weekend are more distant, though, with Verstappen – followed by Leclerc – rated as the most likely to do so in Miami.

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• Max Verstappen 1.40
• Charles Leclerc 8.00
• Carlos Sainz, Sergio Perez 9.00
• Lando Norris 15.0
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 26.0
• Fernando Alonso, Oscar Piastri 34.0
• Lance Stroll 201
• Alex Albon, Daniel Ricciardo, Esteban Ocon, Kevin Magnussen, Logan Sargeant, Nico Hulkenberg, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 301

What are the odds for which team will take the most points?

Red Bull are the clear favourites with the bookmakers for scoring the most points at the Miami International Autodrome. Ferrari are some way behind, with McLaren close to the Scuderia in the odds while Mercedes hold a more distant chance.

• Red Bull 1.09
• Ferrari 10.0
• McLaren 13.0
• Mercedes 19.0
• Aston Martin 41.0
• Alpine, Haas, RB, Kick Sauber, Williams 151

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The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race

While there was no Safety Car appearance during last year’s Miami Grand Prix, it did feature in the inaugural race back in 2022. And with two Safety Car periods – as well as a Virtual Safety Car – at the Chinese Grand Prix two weeks ago, the odds favour another appearance this weekend.

• Yes 1.30
• No 3.25

The odds for number of classified drivers

Reliability has continued to be strong so far in 2024, with at least 17 cars being classified at each Grand Prix while all 20 drivers crossed the line at the season-opener in Bahrain.

• Over 16.5 1.15
• Under 16.5 5.00
• Over 17.5 1.50
• Under 17.5 2.50
• Over 18.5 2.65
• Under 18.5 1.45

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The odds for a winning margin

Verstappen held a 13.773s advantage over second-placed Norris when he took victory last time out in China, but can the lead driver repeat this during the event in Miami?

• Over 10 seconds 1.55
• Between 5 and 10 seconds inclusive 3.25
• Under 5 seconds 6.00