RACE DEBRIEF

    Five races remain and Mexico City returns to the calendar for the first time since 2019 with Max Verstappen and Lewis Hamilton split by just 12 points. Who's favourite to make up ground at the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez? Here's what the odds say.

    188BET's odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.

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    The odds for the win

    Verstappen took his first United States Grand Prix victory last time out to open up a 12-point lead in the standings over Hamilton, the Briton having briefly taken the lead at COTA before finishing second to the polesitter.

    Hamilton won the last Grand Prix in Mexico amid controversial circumstances, when Verstappen was stripped of pole position having been deemed to have ignored yellow flags.

    The Briton denied his Dutch rival a hat-trick of Mexico wins in 2019 but this time it looks like Verstappen is favourite to fight back. And what about a home victory for Sergio Perez?

    Here are the odds:

    • Max Verstappen 1.65
    • Lewis Hamilton 2.85
    • Sergio Perez 13.0
    • Valtteri Bottas 19.0
    • Charles Leclerc 34.0
    • Lando Norris 51.0
    • Carlos Sainz, Daniel Ricciardo 67.0
    • George Russell, Pierre Gasly 151
    • Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Mick Schumacher, Sebastian Vettel, Yuki Tsunoda 301
    • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Lance Stroll 601
    1183795433
    Will Perez take a first home Grand Prix win?

    The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying

    Verstappen took an emphatic pole last time out in the United States and as we mentioned before, he almost took pole position in Mexico two years ago before being denied for ignoring yellow flags.

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    As for Hamilton, his last pole position came seven Grands Prix ago at Hungary. Since then, Verstappen has taken four poles, Lando Norris one, and Valtteri Bottas one.

    So it's no surprise that odds lean heavily towards Verstappen taking P1 on the grid here...

    • Max Verstappen 1.65
    • Lewis Hamilton 3.00
    • Sergio Perez 13.0
    • Valtteri Bottas 15.0
    • Charles Leclerc 17.0
    • Carlos Sainz 34.0
    • Lando Norris 51.0
    • Daniel Ricciardo 67.0
    • Pierre Gasly 101
    • George Russell 201
    • Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Mick Schumacher, Sebastian Vettel, Yuki Tsunoda 251
    • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Lance Stroll 601
    Mega Quali Laps: Daniel Ricciardo's pole lap at the 2018 Mexican Grand Prix

    The odds for a podium finish

    We've had the likes of George Russell, Carlos Sainz, Lando Norris, Esteban Ocon, Charles Leclerc and Pierre Gasly take podium finishes this season. That shows just how much the field has closed, and how the rostrum is open to most of the drivers if the pieces fall into place.

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    Most recently, however, Red Bull have had quite the presence on the podium, with Verstappen having finished in the top three for the last three Grands Prix and Perez joining him in the US and Turkey.

    Are we on for another double-Red Bull podium this weekend? The odds, below:

    • Max Verstappen 1.25
    • Lewis Hamilton 1.40
    • Sergio Perez 1.75
    • Valtteri Bottas 2.60
    • Charles Leclerc 3.25
    • Carlos Sainz, Lando Norris 5.00
    • Daniel Ricciardo 9.00
    • Pierre Gasly 11.0
    • Fernando Alonso, Sebastian Vettel 21.0
    • George Russell, Esteban Ocon 34.0
    • Lance Stroll, Yuki Tsunoda 51.0
    • Mick Schumacher 101
    • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin 251
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    Red Bull had both drivers land on the podium in the US – with Bottas down the order having been hampered by a grid penalty

    The odds for fastest lap

    Fastest lap has fallen to five different drivers in the last five Grands Prix, Hamilton having taken the bonus point in the Netherlands and in the US.

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    Daniel Ricciardo took the point in Italy on his way to victory, while his McLaren team mate Lando Norris took fastest lap next time out in Russia. Mercedes' Valtteri Bottas took the accolade in Turkey.

    Glaringly, Verstappen hasn't taken fastest lap since his dominant display in Austria – nine Grands Prix ago – and the Dutchman is due for one. But it's a difficult game; it needs a new set of tyres and a team to take the risk of a late pit stop here at Mexico City.

    The odds for fastest lap are below.

    • Max Verstappen 2.75
    • Lewis Hamilton 2.90
    • Sergio Perez, Valtteri Bottas 6.00
    • Charles Leclerc 19.0
    • Carlos Sainz 29.0
    • Daniel Ricciardo, Lando Norris, Pierre Gasly 41.0
    • George Russell 101
    • Fernando Alonso, Sebastian Vettel, Esteban Ocon, Lance Stroll, Yuki Tsunoda, Mick Schumacher, Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin 251
    1349364180
    Will Hamilton take that all-important bonus point for fastest lap?

    What are the odds for which team will take the most points?

    Red Bull have taken 80 points – 40 per weekend – in the last two Grands Prix, out-scoring Mercedes by 35 to almost level the constructors' championship. In fact, Ferrari scored 18 points last time out, as much as Mercedes, to move ahead of McLaren in the battle for third overall. Who will reign supreme in Brazil?

    • Red Bull 1.35
    • Mercedes 3.00
    • Ferrari 21.0
    • McLaren 34.0
    • AlphaTauri 41.0
    • Williams 101
    • Alfa Romeo, Aston Martin 201
    • Alpine, Haas 251

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    The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race

    Of the last 20 races held in Sao Paulo, there have been 11 where one or more Safety Cars or Virtual Safety Cars have been deployed. In 2019, there were two Safety Car deployments – and in last weekend's Mexico City Grand Prix there was one. The odds once again lean towards a Safety Car being deployed in the Grand Prix.

    Yes 1.50
    No 2.40

    Odds supplied by 188BET – odds are in USD$ and timestamped November 10 2021, 1630 GMT.