Odds and betting lines for the Tuscan GP – What are the chances of another shock winner?

MONZA, ITALY - SEPTEMBER 06: Race winner Pierre Gasly of France and Scuderia AlphaTauri and second

As Formula 1 heads to Mugello with the Italian circuit hosting a Grand Prix for the first time, we look at the betting odds for the win, pole, the podium and more at the Tuscan Grand Prix, as provided by 188BET.COM.

Last week's Italian Grand Prix saw Pierre Gasly seal a shock victory, and there were reports of a Finnish punter having won a whopping €33,398 from a bet of just 20 cents by guessing the unlikely podium finishers correctly. Could we get another surprise winner this time around, and have odds for midfielders been shortened accordingly?

READ MORE: Ferrari at 1000: The enduring appeal of F1's most iconic brand

188BET's odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so if Lewis Hamilton is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.

What are the odds for the win?

We don't have a form guide for Mugello as it hosts its first Formula 1 Grand Prix but the odds remain firmly in Lewis Hamilton's favour despite the unexpected result at Monza last week.

READ MORE: F1 FANTASY: Tips for the Tuscan Grand Prix – who should you sub in for Mugello?

Last weekend's winner Gasly is level with Lance Stroll and Daniel Ricciardo, and a long shot for victory at 101. It's Lando Norris, curiously, who is favourite of the midfielder runners to somehow pull off a maiden win.

  • Lewis Hamilton 1.45
  • Valtteri Bottas 4.50
  • Max Verstappen 6.50
  • Lando Norris 41.0
  • Carlos Sainz, Sergio Perez 51.0
  • Alex Albon 81.0
  • Lance Stroll, Daniel Ricciardo, Pierre Gasly 101
  • Charles Leclerc 151
  • Sebastian Vettel, Esteban Ocon, Daniil Kvyat 251
  • Kimi Raikkonen, Antonio Gioviazzi, Romain Grosjean, Kevin Magnussen, George Russell, Nicholas Latifi 901

TUSCANY: Charles Leclerc's Mugello circuit guide

What are the odds for fastest in qualifying?

Now with eight poles in eight Grands Prix, Mercedes are firm favourites to score top spot on Saturday in Mugello. Lewis Hamilton's odds remain at 1.40 but team mate Valtteri Bottas's odds to take pole have been slightly lengthened to 3.95.

READ MORE: Ferrari unveil retro burgundy livery for 1000th Grand Prix at Mugello

At Ferrari's 1000th Grand Prix Charles Leclerc is on 201 to take pole and team mate Sebastian Vettel is nearly half as likely as per the odds, at 401.

  • Lewis Hamilton 1.40
  • Valtteri Bottas 3.95
  • Max Verstappen 8.00
  • Carlos Sainz 26.0
  • Sergio Perez, Lando Norris 34.0
  • Alex Albon 81.0
  • Lance Stroll, Daniel Ricciardo, Pierre Gasly 101
  • Charles Leclerc 201
  • Sebastian Vettel 401
  • Esteban Ocon, Daniil Kvyat 501
  • Kimi Raikkonen, Antonio Giovinazzi, Romain Grosjean, Kevin Magnussen, George Russell, Nicholas Latifi 901
Pirelli Pole Position Award - Formula 1 Gran Premio Heineken d'Italia

Lewis Hamilton has all but two pole position awards this season

What are the odds for a podium finish?

Last week we had three surprise podium finishers at Monza in Pierre Gasly, Carlos Sainz and Lando Norris. And the odds have been shortened greatly for another driver outside the top two teams to make the top three at Mugello.

READ MORE: Mick Schumacher to drive his father's 2004 Ferrari at Mugello ahead of team's 1000th GP

Favourites to reach the rostrum are still Lewis Hamilton, Valtteri Bottas and Max Verstappen, but Carlos Sainz, Sergio Perez and Lando Norris aren't far behind...

Last week's winner Pierre Gasly is 11.0 to score a podium at Mugello, however.

  • Lewis Hamilton 1.12
  • Valtteri Bottas 1.25
  • Max Verstappen 1.50
  • Carlos Sainz 4.50
  • Sergio Perez 4.85
  • Lando Norris 5.00
  • Alex Albon, Lance Stroll, Daniel Ricciardo 10.0
  • Pierre Gasly 11.0
  • Esteban Ocon 17.0
  • Daniel Kvyat 21.0
  • Charles Leclerc 29.0
  • Sebastian Vettel 41.0
  • George Russell, Kevin Magnussen, Kimi Raikkonen, Romain Grosjean, Antonio Giovinazzi, Nicholas Latifi 901
SPA, BELGIUM - AUGUST 30: Lewis Hamilton of Great Britain driving the (44) Mercedes AMG Petronas F1

Are we going to see the usual top three get shaken up at Mugello?

What are the odds for fastest lap?

Lewis Hamilton has the most Fastest Lap awards this season with three in eight races, but it's an accolade that could go to anybody eager to get that bonus point.

READ MORE: TRENDING TOPICS: A new era for Williams and 5 more talking points ahead of the Tuscan GP

Daniel Ricciardo, Carlos Sainz, Lando Norris, Valtteri Bottas and Max Verstappen have also taken Fastest Laps this season – but Sergio Perez is favourite from the midfield to do it this time.

  • Lewis Hamilton 2.20
  • Max Verstappen 3.75
  • Valtteri Bottas 4.00
  • Alex Albon 23.0
  • Sergio Perez 26.0
  • Lance Stroll, Daniel Ricciardo 34.0
  • Carlos Sainz, Lando Norris 41.0
  • Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly 51.0
  • Charles Leclerc, Sebastian Vettel, Daniil Kvyat 101
  • Kimi Raikkonen, Antonio Giovinazzi, Romain Grosjean, Kevin Magnussen, George Russell, Nicholas Latifi 251

Italy 2020: DHL Fastest Lap Award

What are the odds for which team will take the most points?

Mercedes are favourites to bag the most points in Mugello with Red Bull not too far behind, but McLaren are now the favourites to do so behind the 'Big Two' – with Racing Point no longer midfield leaders.

AlphaTauri may have won the Italian Grand Prix but they're level with Renault to take away the most points from Mugello, with Ferrari's long odds of 81.0 reflecting their recent difficulties.

  • Mercedes 1.10
  • Red Bull 5.50
  • McLaren 26.0
  • Racing Point 34.0
  • AlphaTauri, Renault 67.0
  • Ferrari 81.0
  • Alfa Romeo, Haas, Williams 901

READ MORE: Vettel to make sensational Racing Point switch in 2021 as they re-brand as Aston Martin

What are the odds for a Safety Car intervention?

We had a Safety Car at Monza but the odds are firmly tilted towards a lack of Safety Car at Mugello. With no form guide to go by, this is a journey into the unknown...

  • Yes 1.48
  • No 2.45

Odds are in $USD and correct as of 1430 BST, September 9, 2020


Coming Up

Coming Up


How 945 days of blood, sweat and tears paid off in Hamilton’s statement Silverstone victory