Betting odds for the Spanish GP – Who's favourite for the win, pole and the podium?


Will Mercedes' stunning run of pole positions and victories at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya end this weekend? Here are the favourites for the 2021 Spanish Grand Prix, with odds provided by 188BET.COM.

188BET's odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so if Hamilton is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.

What are the odds for the win?

Lewis Hamilton took his second victory of the season last time out in Portugal while Max Verstappen who finished second. The question here in Spain is whether Verstappen can stop Hamilton's run of victories at Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya.

Because, as our Form Guide explains, this is indeed Hamilton country; the reigning champion has won the Spanish GP in 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.

FORM GUIDE: Is 2021 the year Mercedes’ exceptional Spanish GP run comes to an end?

A look at the odds below shows that Hamilton is favourite once again – but not by much...

  • Lewis Hamilton 2.10
  • Max Verstappen 2.50
  • Valtteri Bottas 8.00
  • Sergio Perez 10.0
  • Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris 51.0
  • Carlos Sainz, Daniel Ricciardo 67.0
  • Pierre Gasly 101
  • Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Lance Stroll 251
  • Sebastian Vettel, Yuki Tsunoda 501
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, George Russell, Kimi Raikkonen, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin 901
PORTIMAO, PORTUGAL - MAY 02: Race winner Lewis Hamilton of Great Britain and Mercedes GP interacts

The odds hint towards another nailbiting affair here in Spain

The odds for pole position

After three rounds, we have three different pole-sitters: Verstappen, Hamilton and Valtteri Bottas. So one could consider the race for pole slightly harder to call.

However, this is Mercedes country once again, as Hamilton has taken every pole position at Catalunya bar 2019 – when his Silver Arrows team mate Bottas put it on P1.

READ MORE: Alonso’s first home race since 2018 and 4 other fascinating storylines ahead of the Spanish GP

Mercedes country it may be, but Verstappen is actually considered favourite by a whisker, while Bottas's odds have been slashed ever so slightly.

  • Max Verstappen 2.10
  • Lewis Hamilton 2.20
  • Valtteri Bottas 7.00
  • Sergio Perez 11.0
  • Charles Leclerc 51.0
  • Lando Norris 67.0
  • Carlos Sainz, Daniel Ricciardo, Yuki Tsunoda 101
  • Pierre Gasly 151
  • Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Lance Stroll 501
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, George Russell, Kimi Raikkonen, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Sebastian Vettel 901
BARCELONA, SPAIN - MAY 06: Max Verstappen of Netherlands and Red Bull Racing walks in the Paddock

Verstappen is favourite to take pole here even as Mercedes have taken every Spanish GP pole since 2016

What are the odds for a podium finish?

After the Portuguese Grand Prix, in which Hamilton, Verstappen and Bottas filled the podium for the 15th time in F1 – a new record for the most recurring podium trio – one could guess who's likeliest to land on the podium this time around.

But don't rule out Red Bull's Sergio Perez, nor Charles Leclerc and Lando Norris. That trio have shown blistering pace recently and their odds for success have been shortened in the pole and win categories (above) too.

TECH TUESDAY: Discover the latest upgrades that Red Bull hope will give them championship supremacy

Carlos Sainz and Daniel Ricciardo are longer shots for the podium as they continue to bed into their new teams – and AlphaTauri's Pierre Gasly is next on the list.

  • Lewis Hamilton 1.25
  • Max Verstappen 1.32
  • Valtteri Bottas 1.60
  • Sergio Perez 2.45
  • Charles Leclerc 4.50
  • Lando Norris 5.50
  • Carlos Sainz, Daniel Ricciardo 8.00
  • Pierre Gasly 11.0
  • Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso 21.0
  • Lance Stroll 34.0
  • Sebastian Vettel, Yuki Tsunoda 67.0
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, George Russell 501
  • Nicholas Latifi, Mick Schumacher, Nikita Mazepin 901
PORTIMAO, PORTUGAL - MAY 02: Second placed Max Verstappen of Netherlands and Red Bull Racing, race

The odds say it's likely we'll see a repeat of the Portugal podium

What are the odds for fastest lap?

Verstappen narrowly missed out on Fastest Lap at Portimao thanks to a track limits infringement, and that left Bottas with the bonus point.

Good vs. Great: Two laps of Spain with Sergio Perez compared

The Dutchman is favourite to take the Fastest Lap this time around, however, and he's level with title rival Hamilton – while Perez and Bottas are next on the list.

  • Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton 2.75
  • Sergio Perez, Valtteri Bottas 5.00
  • Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc 26.0
  • Daniel Ricciardo 41.0
  • Carlos Sainz, Pierre Gasly 67.0
  • Fernando Alonso 151.0
  • Yuki Tsunoda, Esteban Ocon, Antonio Giovinazzi, George Russell, Kimi Raikkonen, Lance Stroll, Sebastian Vettel, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin 251

DHL Fastest Lap Award - 2021 Portuguese Grand Prix

What are the odds for which team will take the most points?

Mercedes have opened up an 18-point lead in the constructors' table and the odds reflect their propensity to score at this happiest of hunting grounds for them.

As for the midfield battle, McLaren and Ferrari are considered neck and neck this time.

  • Mercedes 1.63
  • Red Bull 2.10
  • Ferrari, McLaren 26.0
  • AlphaTauri 67.0
  • Alpine 101
  • Aston Martin 151
  • Alfa Romeo, Haas, Williams 901

READ MORE: Horner says track limit rules have been ‘brutal’ for Red Bull in 2021 – and team must be ‘perfect’ to beat Mercedes

What are the odds of a Safety Car during the race?

Three out of five Spanish GPs since 2016 have featured a Safety Car, and this season every Grand Prix so far has had a Safety Car deployment, as the odds reflect.

  • Yes 1.48
  • No 2.45

Odds supplied by 188BET are in USD$ timestamped 05 May 2021, 12:28PM UK time


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