Betting odds for the United States Grand Prix – Who's favourite to win at COTA?


The title battle continues in the United States as Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen touch down in Texas ahead of this weekend's race at the Circuit of The Americas. Here are the odds, supplied by 188BET.

188BET's odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.

The odds for the win

Valtteri Bottas won a Grand Prix for the first time since Russia 2020 when he triumphed last time out in Turkey, but Hamilton is returning to a track where he usually goes well – Circuit of The Americas – without engine penalties hanging over him (which he had at Istanbul), and Verstappen has a Red Bull RB16B that looks capable of usurping the Silver Arrows in Texas.

FORM GUIDE: Who’s set to grab the bull by the horns as F1 returns to Texas for the US GP?

Then again, it was Bottas who won the last US Grand Prix, back in 2019, and the Finn has been on excellent form lately - though he still lags a long way behind the the two championship rivals in the odds.

The jury is well and truly out on this one, and we haven't even touched on the McLarens and Ferraris yet, both teams having shown that they can bring the fight to the frontrunners on their day.

Here are the odds:

  • Lewis Hamilton 1.80
  • Max Verstappen 2.40
  • Valtteri Bottas 15.0
  • Sergio Perez 19.0
  • Lando Norris, Charles Leclerc 41.0
  • Carlos Sainz 67.0
  • Daniel Ricciardo, George Russell, Pierre Gasly 151.0
  • Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Lance Stroll, Sebastian Vettel 301
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Mick Schumacher, Yuki Tsunoda 601
ISTANBUL, TURKEY - OCTOBER 10: The Red Bull Racing team enjoy the atmosphere at the podium

Will Red Bull take their first US GP win since 2013 this weekend?

The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying

Hamilton was fastest in qualifying last time out in Turkey but was instantly relegated to P11 on the grid thanks to a grid penalty, leaving Bottas in pole position instead.

GOOD LAP vs GREAT LAP: See how to nail a lap of COTA with 2019 pole-sitter Valtteri Bottas

And to take a leaf out of our Form Guide, Mercedes have the run of this place: every one of the last five pole positions has been theirs with Nico Rosberg taking P1 on the grid in 2015, Hamilton the next three years and Bottas in 2019.

Would you doubt Verstappen, though? He has taken eight pole positions so far this season, after all...

  • Lewis Hamilton 2.10
  • Max Verstappen 2.90
  • Valtteri Bottas 5.00
  • Sergio Perez, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris 26.0
  • Carlos Sainz, Daniel Ricciardo 67.0
  • George Russell, Pierre Gasly 151
  • Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Lance Stroll, Sebastian Vettel 301
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Yuki Tsunoda 601
  • Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Mick Schumacher 901
ISTANBUL, TURKEY - OCTOBER 09: Pole position qualifier Lewis Hamilton of Great Britain and Mercedes

Mercedes have a hold on pole at this venue, with Bottas a threat too

The odds for a podium finish

George Russell pulled off a podium in Belgium, McLaren took a one-two in Italy, Carlos Sainz finished third in Russia (where McLaren's Lando Norris was oh-so-close to winning) and last time out Sergio Perez returned to the rostrum in Turkey.

That's not to forget Esteban Ocon's Hungarian GP win either. So there have been plenty of different faces in the top three this year.

READ MORE: What's the weather forecast for the United States Grand Prix?

But according to the odds, it's most likely here at COTA that Mercedes and Red Bull will share the podium. After all, they have the fastest cars and nobody can deny that Verstappen is on the form of his life, with Hamilton driving at the consistently stellar level that has seen him take seven world championships.

Will anyone shock the frontrunners and swipe a podium place this weekend? The odds:

  • Lewis Hamilton 1.25
  • Max Verstappen 1.30
  • Valtteri Bottas 1.60
  • Sergio Perez, Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris 4.00
  • Carlos Sainz 9.00
  • Daniel Ricciardo 11.0
  • Pierre Gasly, Sebastian Vettel, Fernando Alonso 15.0
  • Yuki Tsunoda 51.0
  • Mick Schumacher 151
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin 301
MONZA, ITALY - SEPTEMBER 12: Race winner Daniel Ricciardo of Australia and McLaren F1, second

Will one of McLaren's drivers land on the podium on Sunday?

The odds for fastest lap

Fastest lap is sometimes too close to call: Bottas nailed it late on the way to his Turkish Grand Prix victory while McLaren pair Norris and Ricciardo took the last two bonus points in Russia and Italy, respectively.

READ MORE: Verstappen confident of turning ‘competitive’ Red Bull COTA form into first US Grand Prix win

In fact, not since Max Verstappen managed fastest lap in Azerbaijan then France have we seen a driver take the bonus point on consecutive occasions, and not since Austria has the Red Bull talisman been able to put a bonus point on his scorecard.

With light rain expected on Sunday, it becomes even harder to call who will take fastest lap. Here are the odds.

  • Lewis Hamilton 2.40
  • Max Verstappen 3.20
  • Valtteri Bottas 4.50
  • Sergio Perez 7.00
  • Charles Leclerc, Pierre Gasly 26.0
  • Daniel Ricciardo, Lando Norris 29.0
  • Carlos Sainz 41.0
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, George Russell, Kimi Raikkonen, Lance Stroll, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Sebastian Vettel, Yuki Tsunoda 301
ISTANBUL, TURKEY - OCTOBER 10: Max Verstappen of Netherlands and Red Bull Racing prepares to drive

It's been a while since Verstappen has taken fastest lap...

What are the odds for which team will take the most points?

Mercedes have outscored Red Bull in the last four races running to extend their championship lead to 36 points, with the Bulls outscoring them in the rain-hit Belgian Grand Prix.

And the odds, below, hint that the Silver Arrows could consolidate their lead once again. Behind, McLaren and Ferrari are 7.5 points apart and it was McLaren who scored the most points in Italy with a one-two finish.

  • Mercedes 1.60
  • Red Bull 2.20
  • Ferrari 26.0
  • McLaren 29.0
  • Williams, AlphaTauri 81.0
  • Alpine, Aston Martin 151
  • Alfa Romeo, Haas 301

WATCH: Sato's first podium and Raikkonen's last win – 5 feelgood moments from F1 history at Austin

The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race

Of the eight races held at Austin since 2012, there have been five races where one or more Safety or Virtual Safety Cars have been deployed, but in 2019 there were zero deployments.

Yes 1.60
No 2.25

Odds supplied by 188BET – odds are in USD$ and timestamped October 20 2021, 1208 GMT+1 Time in UK.



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