Betting odds for the Belgian GP – Is Verstappen or Hamilton more fancied as their fight resumes at Spa?


With their batteries now recharged after their respective summer breaks, Max Verstappen and Lewis Hamilton wade into battle again this weekend as they prepare to resume their title fight at the Belgian Grand Prix. Ahead of the action, here are the betting odds, provided by 188BET.

188BET's odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.

FORM GUIDE: Who’s set to come out on top as battle resumes in Belgium?

The odds for the win

Verstappen and Hamilton find themselves evenly matched in terms of which of them is expected to bring home victory. That’s despite Verstappen never having finished higher than third here, while Hamilton is a four-time Spa victor.

Winner last time out at the Hungaroring, Esteban Ocon is less fancied to pull off a repeat this weekend, despite his impressive previous form at the Belgian track, where he’s finished in the points every year he’s raced here bar one.

  • Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton 2.10
  • Sergio Perez 13.0
  • Valtteri Bottas 17.0
  • Lando Norris 29.0
  • Charles Leclerc 41.0
  • Carlos Sainz, Daniel Ricciardo, Esteban Ocon, George Russell, Sebastian Vettel 151
  • Fernando Alonso, Pierre Gasly 251
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Lance Stroll, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Yuki Tsunoda 601

Hamilton vs. Verstappen: The championship battle resumes

The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying

Once again, it’s Verstappen and Hamilton matched in the betting, despite Hamilton having six poles to his name here to Verstappen’s zero.

Valtteri Bottas, meanwhile, might be fastest in qualifying, but he’ll have a five-place grid drop coming after the session (as will Lance Stroll) for his part in the first-lap mayhem at the Hungaroring.

READ MORE: The resumption of the title fight and a possible decision on Mercedes’ line-up – 5 fascinating storylines ahead of the Belgian GP

  • Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton 2.10
  • Valtteri Bottas 7.00
  • Sergio Perez 21.0
  • Lando Norris 34.0
  • Charles Leclerc 41.0
  • Carlos Sainz 67.0
  • Daniel Ricciardo, George Russell, Pierre Gasly 151
  • Mick Schumacher 251
  • Yuki Tsunoda, Antonio Giovinazzi, Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Kimi Raikkonen, Lance Stroll, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Sebastian Vettel 601
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Bottas and Stroll are nursing five-place grid drops this weekend

The odds for a podium finish

It’s a similar story at the top here, with Verstappen and Hamilton joint-favourites to make a podium appearance in Belgium. Sergio Perez has three times finished fourth at Spa, with the Mexican fancied to complete the rostrum more than Bottas, who’ll have to fight back from that grid penalty, despite Perez now not having appeared on the podium since the French Grand Prix.

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The odds are also short here for McLaren’s Lando Norris and Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc, winner of the 2019 race in Belgium.

  • Max Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton 1.25
  • Sergio Perez 1.70
  • Valtteri Bottas 3.00
  • Lando Norris 4.00
  • Charles Leclerc 4.50
  • Carlos Sainz 9.00
  • Daniel Ricciardo 11.0
  • Pierre Gasly 15.0
  • Sebastian Vettel 17.0
  • Fernando Alonso, Esteban Ocon 21.0
  • George Russell 29.0
  • Lance Stroll 67.0
  • Mick Schumacher, Yuki Tsunoda 101
  • Antonio Giovinazzi, Kimi Raikkonen, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin 251
LE CASTELLET, FRANCE - JUNE 20: Third placed Sergio Perez of Mexico and Red Bull Racing celebrates

Perez hasn't been on the podium since France

The odds for fastest lap

AlphaTauri’s Pierre Gasly broke the Red Bull/Mercedes duopoly on fastest laps last time out at the Hungarian Grand Prix. But despite that performance, the Frenchman’s odds are longish this time out, with Verstappen narrowly the favourite over Hamilton.

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  • Max Verstappen 2.50
  • Lewis Hamilton 2.60
  • Valtteri Bottas 5.50
  • Sergio Perez 6.00
  • Lando Norris 26.0
  • Charles Leclerc 34.0
  • Pierre Gasly 51.0
  • Carlos Sainz 67.0
  • Daniel Ricciardo, George Russell 101
  • Yuki Tsunoda, Antonio Giovinazzi, Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Kimi Raikkonen, Lance Stroll, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Nikita Mazepin, Sebastian Vettel 251

Belgium analysis: Alex Brundle's guide to a great lap at Spa-Francorchamps

What are the odds for which team will take the most points?

Despite a dismal run that has seen the team take just five points in the last two race weekends, Red Bull are expected to bounce back at Spa-Francorchamps – a track that’s never particularly worked for them in the hybrid era, but where their newfound 2021 performance is expected in the betting to give them a little edge over rivals Mercedes.

Williams also find themselves matched with Aston Martin, following the Grove team’s breaking of their points duck in Hungary, after two years of trying.

  • Red Bull 1.80
  • Mercedes 2.00
  • McLaren 21.0
  • Ferrari 26.0
  • Alpine 81.0
  • Aston Martin, Williams 126
  • AlphaTauri 151
  • Haas, Alfa Romeo 251

READ MORE: Alpine confirm Fernando Alonso will stay with the team for the 2022 season

The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race

The odds are unsurprisingly short for a Safety Car this weekend, with one having appeared at the last five consecutive Belgian Grands Prix.

  • Yes 1.32
  • No 3.20

Odds supplied by 188BET odds are in USD$ and timestamped August 25 2021, 1240 GMT+1.


Coming Up

Coming Up


Mercedes explain the form turnaround that led to Silverstone win – and assess their chances for Hungary