RACE DEBRIEF

    Formula 1 has returned to Montreal for the first time since 2019, and what a race is in prospect. Red Bull have turned the tables on their Ferrari rivals, with a string of recent strong results and both drivers firing on all cylinders. Ferrari meanwhile have seen their early season pace advantage disappear, and instead have started to stutter with reliability woes.

    That’s what’s been happening on track – but with so little recent data to draw on from Canada, who do the odds favour heading into this weekend’s race?

    188BET's odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.

    The odds for the win

    Max Verstappen is understandably favourite for the win, having taken victory last time out in Baku by a comfortable margin. That was his fourth win from the last five races, while Charles Leclerc hasn’t stood on the top step of the rostrum since Australia back in April.

    ORAL HISTORY: The inside story of Sebastian Vettel’s first Formula 1 point on debut in the 2007 US GP

    Red Bull haven’t won at this track since Daniel Ricciardo grabbed victory back in 2014, while Ferrari had more recent success courtesy of Sebastian Vettel in 2018. Lewis Hamilton was the last driver to win here – but he is joint-fifth favourite with his team mate, a nod to George Russell’s brilliant form since joining the Silver Arrows.

    Max Verstappen 1.80
    Charles Leclerc 3.50
    Sergio Perez 4.00
    Carlos Sainz 15.0
    George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 34.0
    Lando Norris, Pierre Gasly 151
    Daniel Ricciardo, Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Valtteri Bottas 301
    Kevin Magnussen, Sebastian Vettel, Yuki Tsunoda 601
    Alexander Albon, Lance Stroll, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Zhou Guanyu 901

    1402483362
    Verstappen has yet to win in Canada for Red Bull

    The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying

    Verstappen might have been winning plenty of races of late, but Leclerc has been much the quicker of the two over one lap. The Monegasque driver has been on pole for six of the eight races this season, including the last four. Although he has the unwanted record of not managing to convert any of those four straight poles into the race win, he has been the undoubted king of qualifying.

    Can he make an impression around the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve? This is what the odds say…

    Charles Leclerc 1.70
    Max Verstappen 3.50
    Sergio Perez 4.00
    Carlos Sainz 15.0
    Daniel Ricciardo, Fernando Alonso, George Russell, Lando Norris, Lewis Hamilton, Pierre Gasly 151
    Esteban Ocon, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda 301
    Alexander Albon, Kevin Magnussen, Lance Stroll, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Sebastian Vettel, Zhou Guanyu 901

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    1402483211
    Will Leclerc keep his streak of consecutive pole positions going?

    The odds for a podium finish

    Hamilton shared the podium with Vettel and Leclerc the last time F1 raced here, and while that podium might not be the most likely according to the odds, there is a chance that there could be some rain around which may well increase the opportunities for the midfield.

    Thanks to his stellar record at this track, Hamilton once again has the same odds as his team mate, despite Russell out-scoring him with three podiums to one this season. Lando Norris is next up on the odds sheet which is no surprise, the McLaren man still being the only driver outside of the traditional big three teams to stand on the rostrum this season.

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    Max Verstappen 1.30
    Charles Leclerc 1.35
    Sergio Perez 1.50
    Carlos Sainz 2.60
    George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 4.50
    Lando Norris 9.00
    Daniel Ricciardo, Fernando Alonso, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas 17.00
    Esteban Ocon 26.0
    Kevin Magnussen, Sebastian Vettel, Yuki Tsunoda 67.0
    Lance Stroll, Mick Schumacher, Zhou Guanyu 201
    Alexander Albon 601
    Nicholas Latifi 901

    1402474501
    Russell is chasing a fourth podium of the season

    The odds for fastest lap

    The championship contenders have been hoovering up the fastest lap bonus points this season, with Leclerc, Verstappen and Perez grabbing seven of the eight on offer. That just shows how tight they think this year might be, with every single point counting. The only bonus point to go elsewhere was picked up by Norris, who has been on a fine run of form despite that nasty bout of tonsillitis.

    Here are the odds for who is most likely to grab the fastest lap…

    Max Verstappen 2.10
    Charles Leclerc, Sergio Perez 3.50
    Carlos Sainz 15.0
    George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 41.0
    Fernando Alonso, Pierre Gasly 51.0
    Daniel Ricciardo, Lando Norris 67.0
    Esteban Ocon, Kevin Magnussen, Sebastian Vettel, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda 101
    Alexander Albon, Lance Stroll, Mick Schumacher, Nicholas Latifi, Zhou Guanyu 251

    PALMER: Why Ferrari will be looking to strike back after the pain of their double DNF in Baku

    1402441831
    Norris is in elite company having grabbed a fastest lap bonus point this season

    What are the odds for which team will take the most points?

    Understandably following their one-two last time out, Red Bull remain the team most likely to score big in Montreal. That was their third one-two of the season, and throw in a couple of one-fours and a first and third, and it is easy to see why they are favourites to take home the most points.

    Ferrari will need better reliability to beat them, with three mechanical DNFs from the last three races. As for Mercedes, they have had both drivers see the chequered flag at every race this season. While their bouncing is a hot topic, what hasn’t been discussed enough is their reliability, which has been a serious positive so far, with both drivers often there to pick up the pieces should anyone fail to finish ahead.

    Red Bull 1.32
    Ferrari 3.00
    Mercedes 15.0
    McLaren 67.0
    AlphaTauri 126
    Alpine 151
    Alfa Romeo 201
    Aston Martin 401
    Haas 501
    Williams 901

    READ MORE: A return to Montreal and Ferrari looking to bounce back – 5 storylines we’re excited about ahead of the 2022 Canadian GP

    The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race

    The Safety Car has led plenty of laps this season, but somewhat surprisingly wasn’t called into action last time out in Baku. Instead, that race saw two pivotal Virtual Safety Car periods, which ended up making for some interesting strategic calls.

    Of the last 21 races in Montreal, 13 have seen Safety Cars and some of those saw multiple appearances by Bernd Maylander – so what are the odds of a Safety Car on Sunday?

    Yes 1.40
    No 2.75

    Odds supplied by 188BET – odds are in USD$ and timestamped June 15 2022, 11:32 GMT.